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Financial Structure, Product Market Decisions and Default Risk in an Asymmetric Duopoly

机译:非对称双头垄断下的财务结构,产品市场决策和违约风险

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摘要

Financial and output market decisions are crucial to the success or failure of an organization. In this paper we analyze the equilibrium default risk in a two-stage duopoly model with an uncertain environment, where firms decide their financial structure in the first stage of the game and decide their quantities in the second stage of the game. Using numerical analysis, we analyze the impact of changing the asymmetry in the two firms' marginal costs on the equilibrium default risk. Our results show that as a firm becomes less efficient it is optimal to reduce its debt level and the quantity produced. The reverse is true for the more efficient firm. This behavior implies that although higher marginal cost leads to lower profits, the less efficient firm reduces its default probability due to a more cautious behavior in the financial and product market.
机译:财务和产出市场决策对于组织的成败至关重要。在本文中,我们在具有不确定环境的两阶段双头垄断模型中分析均衡违约风险,在该模型中,企业在博弈的第一阶段决定其财务结构,并在博弈的第二阶段决定其数量。使用数值分析,我们分析了改变两个公司的边际成本中的不对称性对均衡违约风险的影响。我们的结果表明,随着公司效率的降低,最佳的方法是降低其债务水平和产量。对于效率更高的公司而言,情况恰恰相反。这种行为意味着,尽管较高的边际成本导致利润降低,但由于金融和产品市场上的行为更加谨慎,效率较低的公司降低了违约概率。

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